This will have a direct effect on our technology sector, and other sectors as well. The global support this country has had in demonizing China is likely to wain even further in light of what just occurred. Our attempt to regain world technological leadership is going to be more challenging. We have shown to the world we are no better than other dictatorial nations. Other countries will, likely, be less willing to trust that we will do what we say we will, since this insurrectionist act. Its supporters, and the steadfast Republicans that still believe the election was rigged, is exactly what we call other countries on the carpet about. There is a real question among these allies if the United States can be trusted with their security.
Trump, Giuliani, and others have openly called for violence and disorder. And, even after this heartbreaking act Republicans like Texas Senator Ted Cruz, Missouri Senator Josh Hawley, and others, continue to support the ridiculous notion the election was rigged. As well, there is concern over how Trump and his followers may encourage violence in the upcoming inauguration.
I made a few calls to some contemporaries overseas. One of the messages I received was that companies that were always comfortable purchasing American technology are advising caution in going forward even though Trump and his minions have been dismissed. While the immediate problem has been resolved, there remains a sizeable congressional contingent that still carries forward the Trump, “stolen election/America first” mentality.
And the fact that this faction continues to push what has been disproven, again and again, especially Trump’s refusal to accept the truth and disarm the situation, is very troubling to our allies. Some even see this as a conspiracy to rework the democratic philosophy of this country.
Another source told me that the obvious lies that are allowed to flourish without repercussions from other Senate Republicans worry them. Their point being it is not so much about what they can do, rather what they should do. They see Congress as a divided government where hate exists, and they cannot be trusted to think rationally.
Generally, the riot reinforced the consensus, among fellow democracies, that something is seriously wrong here. After this election, many were shocked at the number of Americans who again, voted for a leader who blatantly lies, consistently attacks independent judicial and media institutions, blew off a lethal pandemic, withdrew America, for all intents and purposes, from most global partnerships, befriending known dictators, and rebukes many of his country’s established political norms.
There is also fear that even after Trump leaves office, he will remain on the political scene, influencing American politics and reveling in rebellion within the Republican party for some time to come. There is not a strong belief that the restoration of long-standing, traditional American behavior under Joe Biden and Kamala Harris could be more than a limited and temporary respite.
All of this is pushing allies and countries, in general, to ignore U.S. entreaties and to take policy matters into their own hands, be it by assuaging powerful neighbors or by building up (and using) their own military strength. Signs of this are already evident in the Middle East, Europe and Asia: the Saudi war in Yemen, Turkey’s involvement in Syria and support for Azerbaijan in Nagorno-Karabakh, the European Union’s investment treaty with China, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership trade bloc in Asia.
Had this ended with Washington putting the political bloodshed behind it, followed by a peaceful transfer of power and a shaking of hands across the aisle, all would have likely been forgiven. It would have shown that we are a nation that, in spite of our differences, can come back together and remain united and strong. However, since many of the Republicans will continue to hold the corrupt election belief, both allies and enemies now see us as being weak and ineffectual.
In the end, countries see “new America” as politically divisive. They can no longer count on a cohesive Congress to make the best unemotional decisions.
All this being said, there will certainly be some challenges to the wireless and other technology industries. They can be on both the demand side, with procuring, or the supply side with selling. We will find it more difficult to buy and sell high tech, certainly wireless, but AI, and compute-based platforms as well. It will also have some consequences in the advancement and free exchange of technology, across the board.
It will likely permeate across other industries as well. Moving to bring our technological sector back to America and advancing it here will not be the solution to being a world technology leader.
With respect to China, the new administration’s biggest challenge will be to understand that we are not going to change who they are. The Sinophobes are not going to change their position either. But with the influx of new progressives, perhaps they can be held in check. If so, reconnecting with China on a technological level should be a priority.
We have a choice. The wireless spying issue is over. Everybody spies, everybody lies about it, and everybody eventually gets caught. It has been that way for eons. We can go forward with re-establishing a working relationship with China, in spite of what we view as human rights violations and its military/civilian interconnect. Or, we can realize that every nation has its peculiarities – some not very pretty.
We live in a glass house as well and are hardly pristine. We have a long way to go before we can claim an end to race and other inequality issues. Certainly, what we (or rather Trump) did at the southern border was certainly inhumane. As well, certain components of this society still wave the confederate flag and believe in its philosophies, even to the point of violence.
How this all ties in with technology is, simply, that if other nations see us as politically unhinged, they may just decide to go elsewhere for their technology. And, most likely, that somewhere will be China. And it won’t be for just 5G, but AI and compute-based technologies where they are also at the forefront.
If we cannot reverse the isolationist philosophy Trump advanced, we run the risk of fragmenting the global 5G platform by developing different technology paths. This, not only with China but other first-world nations. We need to work with China as well as the rest of the technological world, so we do not splinter the global 5G ecosystem.
Regardless of the direction that emerges in Washington, we are NOT the reigning power in the world any longer. Nor are we politically correct, as was just evidenced. That was shown when not everybody saluted to Trump’s threats if they did not fall in line and boot China. There are far worst nations in the world that we have to worry about other than China.